We live in a world where our civilization and daily lives depend upon institutions, infrastructure, and technological substrates that are _complicated_ but not _unknowable_. Join Patrick McKenzie (patio11) as he discusses how decisions, technology, culture, and incentives shape our finance, technology, government, and more, with the people who built (and build) those Complex Systems.
Patrick McKenzie (patio11) is joined by Max Chiswick, a former professional poker player turned AI educator, to explore how poker intersects with decision making. They discuss how the online poker boom created unprecedented opportunities to study decision-making at scale and how computational advances have transformed both the game’s theory and practice. They dig into how poker serves as a laboratory for studying decision-making under uncertainty, pattern recognition, and opponent modeling, while also examining the sometimes problematic incentives that emerge in both online gambling and AI development.
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Full transcript available here: https://www.complexsystemspodcast.com/ai-poker-max-chiswick/
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Sponsor: Check
Check is the leading payroll infrastructure provider and pioneer of embedded payroll. Check makes it easy for any SaaS platform to build a payroll business, and already powers 60+ popular platforms. Head to checkhq.com/complex and tell them patio11 sent you.
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Links:
- Max’s website: https://maxchiswick.com/
- Max’s startup for AI and Game Strategy: https://overbet.ai/
- The Expected Value Foundation & poker camp course: https://expectedvalue.org/
- Patrick’s Bits about Money: https://www.bitsaboutmoney.com/
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Twitter:
@chisness
@patio11
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Intro
(00:26) Max’s background and journey into poker
(03:45) The credit card rewards game tangent
(06:12) Why poker matters: reasoning and decision-making
(07:49) The problem areas in the poker AI space
(09:38) Poker as an assistive technology for reasoning
(10:59) Online poker history
(16:14) Understanding multitabling
(21:14) Casino economics and gambling regulation
(22:55) Sponsor: Check
(26:32) PokerStars VIP program and professional incentives
(29:47) Playing a million hands in a month
(37:26) AI poker history and counterfactual regret minimization
(43:35) Poker complexity
(45:01) The impact of solvers on modern poker
(45:52) Understanding poker game theory and decision trees
(49:26) Recent developments in poker AI education
(50:27) Teaching programmers to build poker bots
(53:05) Wrap
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Complex Systems is part of the Turpentine podcast network, the network behind Econ 102 with Noah Smith, The Riff with Byrne Hobart, and Turpentine VC. Turpentine also has a social network for top tech founders: https://www.turpentinenetwork.com/
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Guests:
- Erica Cartmill, Professor, Anthropology and Cognitive Science, Indiana University Bloomington
- Ellie Pavlick, Assistant Professor, Computer Science and Linguistics, Brown University
Hosts: Abha Eli Phoboo & Melanie Mitchell
Producer: Katherine Moncure
Podcast theme music by: Mitch Mignano
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More info:
- Tutorial: Fundamentals of Machine Learning
- Lecture: Artificial Intelligence
- SFI programs: Education
- Diverse Intelligences Summer Institute
Books:
- Artificial Intelligence: A Guide for Thinking Humans by Melanie Mitchell
Talks:
- How do we know what an animal understands by Erica Cartmill
- The Future of Artificial Intelligence by Melanie Mitchell
Papers & Articles:
- “Just kidding: the evolutionary roots of playful teasing,” in Biology Letters (September 23, 2020), doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2020.0370
- “Overcoming bias in the comparison of human language and animal communication,” in PNAS (November 13, 2023), doi.org/10.1073/pnas.22187991
- “Using the senses in animal communication,” by Erica Cartmill, in A New Companion to Linguistic Anthropology, Chapter 20, Wiley Online Library (March 21, 2023)
- “Symbols and grounding in large language models,” in Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A (June 5, 2023), doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0041
- “Emergence of abstract state representations in embodied sequence modeling,” in arXiv (November 7, 2023), doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2311.02171
- “How do we know how smart AI systems are,” in Science (July 13, 2023), doi: 10.1126/science.adj59
Discussions about philosophy, psychology, and sociology through the lens of systems thinking.
What we repeat, and what we hear repeatedly, we internalize. Slogans and jingles become ingrained in our psyche, for good or for ill. How are you using or being used by this powerful mechanism? Sam and Vox explore it.
Explore the myths, mysteries, and medical breakthroughs of the most complex and powerful organ in your body – your brain. Weaving together expert interviews with heartfelt, inspiring snapshots of the patients and family members in the middle of it all, Heather Sherman dives into the latest science on Alzheimer’s, Parkinson’s, epilepsy, stroke, concussion, spinal cord injury, brain cancer, chronic pain and other brain diseases and disorders. Along the way she uncovers surprising insights, sheds light on the latest research, and shares heroic, real life stories from the people on the front lines. Brought to you by Krembil Brain Institute at UHN, one of the largest and most comprehensive neurological centres in North America. Learn more about our mission at: http://www.uhn.ca/krembil
In this bonus episode, we delve into the life-changing journey of Carmen Chu, a cancer survivor and mother who was diagnosed with sleep apnea. Carmen shares her struggles with interrupted sleep, fatigue, and the impact on her daily life. She discusses her experience with sleep tests and the transformative benefits of using a CPAP machine.
Additional Resources
UHN’s Centre for Sleep Health and Research
Dr. Frances Chung named UHN Inventor of the Year
Dr. Douglas Bradley featured in KITE Research spotlight: Use of non-invasive breathing device to alleviate obstructive and central sleep apnea improves quality of life
The Your Complex Brain production team is Heather Sherman, Jessica Schmidt, Dr. Amy Ma, Kim Perry, Alley Wilson, Sara Yuan, Meagan Anderi, Liz Chapman, and Lorna Gilfedder.
The Krembil Brain Institute, part of University Health Network, in Toronto, is home to one of the world's largest and most comprehensive teams of physicians and scientists uniquely working hand-in-hand to prevent and confront problems of the brain and spine, such as Parkinson's, Alzheimer's, epilepsy, stroke, spinal cord injury, chronic pain, brain cancer or concussion, in their lifetime. Through state-of-the-art patient care and advanced research, we are working relentlessly toward finding new treatments and cures.
Do you want to know more about the Krembil Brain Institute at UHN? Visit us at: uhn.ca/krembil
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Thanks for listening!